Graphic Packaging Holding Company's (NYSE:GPK) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.2x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 17x and even P/E's above 32x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Recent times have been pleasing for Graphic Packaging Holding as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Graphic Packaging Holding
How Is Graphic Packaging Holding's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Graphic Packaging Holding's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 69%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 366% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 11% per year during the coming three years according to the ten analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 12% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.
With this information, we find it odd that Graphic Packaging Holding is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From Graphic Packaging Holding's P/E?
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Graphic Packaging Holding's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Graphic Packaging Holding that you should be aware of.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.