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Investors Don't See Light At End Of China Western Power Industrial Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002630) Tunnel

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 3 18:34

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x China Western Power Industrial Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002630) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Machinery companies in China have P/S ratios greater than 3.2x and even P/S higher than 6x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for China Western Power Industrial

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002630 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 3rd 2024

What Does China Western Power Industrial's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, China Western Power Industrial has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S ratio. Those who are bullish on China Western Power Industrial will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on China Western Power Industrial's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For China Western Power Industrial?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like China Western Power Industrial's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 55% gain to the company's top line. Still, revenue has fallen 45% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 31% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we understand why China Western Power Industrial's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Key Takeaway

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of China Western Power Industrial revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for China Western Power Industrial that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on China Western Power Industrial, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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