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Some Confidence Is Lacking In Touyun Biotech Group Limited (HKG:1332) As Shares Slide 49%

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 2 17:49

The Touyun Biotech Group Limited (HKG:1332) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 49%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 48% in that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Touyun Biotech Group is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2.5x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Packaging industry have P/S ratios below 0.8x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Touyun Biotech Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1332 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 2nd 2024

How Has Touyun Biotech Group Performed Recently?

For instance, Touyun Biotech Group's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Touyun Biotech Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Touyun Biotech Group?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Touyun Biotech Group's to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 19%. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 16% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it concerning that Touyun Biotech Group is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Touyun Biotech Group's P/S?

There's still some elevation in Touyun Biotech Group's P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Touyun Biotech Group revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Touyun Biotech Group you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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