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Cautious Investors Not Rewarding California Resources Corporation's (NYSE:CRC) Performance Completely

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 2 07:49

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may consider California Resources Corporation (NYSE:CRC) as a highly attractive investment with its 8.2x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

California Resources has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for California Resources

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:CRC Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 2nd 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on California Resources will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, California Resources would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 56%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 30% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 10%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it odd that California Resources is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that California Resources currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for California Resources (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

You might be able to find a better investment than California Resources. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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