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Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. (HKG:2238) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 2 02:32

There wouldn't be many who think Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd.'s (HKG:2238) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.6x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Hong Kong is similar at about 9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Guangzhou Automobile Group has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company's earnings trend will eventually fall in line with most others in the market. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping it doesn't keep underperforming if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangzhou Automobile Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2238 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 2nd 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Guangzhou Automobile Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Guangzhou Automobile Group's Growth Trending?

Guangzhou Automobile Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 57%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 17% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 48% as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 23%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Guangzhou Automobile Group is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Guangzhou Automobile Group's P/E

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Guangzhou Automobile Group currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Guangzhou Automobile Group that you need to take into consideration.

You might be able to find a better investment than Guangzhou Automobile Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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