With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.1x YTO Express Group Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600233) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 36x and even P/E's higher than 65x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, YTO Express GroupLtd has been very sluggish. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for YTO Express GroupLtd
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like YTO Express GroupLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 5.0%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 98% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 3.5% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 23% per year.
In light of this, it's understandable that YTO Express GroupLtd's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that YTO Express GroupLtd maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for YTO Express GroupLtd you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on YTO Express GroupLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.