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Further Upside For The Oncology Institute, Inc. (NASDAQ:TOI) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 33% Bounce

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 31, 2023 07:02

Despite an already strong run, The Oncology Institute, Inc. (NASDAQ:TOI) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 33% in the last thirty days. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 24% is also fairly reasonable.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it would still be understandable if you think Oncology Institute is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.5x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Healthcare industry have P/S ratios above 1.2x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

View our latest analysis for Oncology Institute

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:TOI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 31st 2023

What Does Oncology Institute's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Oncology Institute has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Oncology Institute's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Oncology Institute's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 33% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 65% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 17% during the coming year according to the one analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 8.0% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Oncology Institute's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Oncology Institute's P/S

Oncology Institute's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

To us, it seems Oncology Institute currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Oncology Institute.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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