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Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group Limited (HKG:1341) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 26% Price Plummet

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 30, 2023 19:27

Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group Limited (HKG:1341) shares have retraced a considerable 26% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. The good news is that in the last year, the stock has shone bright like a diamond, gaining 241%.

Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Trade Distributors industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.6x, you may still consider Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group as a stock not worth researching with its 37.9x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

View our latest analysis for Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group

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SEHK:1341 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 31st 2023

What Does Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group?

Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 9.5% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 12% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 3.5% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What Does Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group's very lofty P/S. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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