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Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By BT Brands, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BTBD) Revenues Despite 50% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 29, 2023 14:01

BT Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ:BTBD) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 50% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 33%.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think BT Brands' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Hospitality industry is similar at about 1.3x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for BT Brands

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:BTBD Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 29th 2023

How BT Brands Has Been Performing

Revenue has risen firmly for BT Brands recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on BT Brands will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for BT Brands, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is BT Brands' Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, BT Brands would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 23% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 89% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 16% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's curious that BT Brands' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On BT Brands' P/S

Its shares have lifted substantially and now BT Brands' P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We didn't quite envision BT Brands' P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

You need to take note of risks, for example - BT Brands has 3 warning signs (and 2 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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