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M/I Homes, Inc. (NYSE:MHO) Shares Fly 33% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 28, 2023 14:51

M/I Homes, Inc. (NYSE:MHO) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 33% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 199% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, M/I Homes may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.8x, since almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 18x and even P/E's higher than 33x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, M/I Homes has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for M/I Homes

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:MHO Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 28th 2023
Keen to find out how analysts think M/I Homes' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

M/I Homes' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 5.6% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 149% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 6.7% as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 10% growth , that's a disappointing outcome.

With this information, we are not surprised that M/I Homes is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Bottom Line On M/I Homes' P/E

Shares in M/I Homes are going to need a lot more upward momentum to get the company's P/E out of its slump. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that M/I Homes maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for M/I Homes with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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