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Telephone and Data Systems, Inc.'s (NYSE:TDS) Price Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 26, 2023 06:29

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.7x in the Wireless Telecom industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Telephone and Data Systems, Inc.'s (NYSE:TDS) P/S ratio of 0.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Telephone and Data Systems

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:TDS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 26th 2023

How Has Telephone and Data Systems Performed Recently?

Telephone and Data Systems could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Telephone and Data Systems.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Telephone and Data Systems' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 4.1% decrease to the company's top line. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 1.5% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 2.1% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.

With this in consideration, we think it doesn't make sense that Telephone and Data Systems' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining revenues are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What Does Telephone and Data Systems' P/S Mean For Investors?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

It appears that Telephone and Data Systems currently trades on a higher than expected P/S for a company whose revenues are forecast to decline. With this in mind, we don't feel the current P/S is justified as declining revenues are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If the declining revenues were to materialize in the form of a declining share price, shareholders will be feeling the pinch.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Telephone and Data Systems (at least 2 which are potentially serious), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're unsure about the strength of Telephone and Data Systems' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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