Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer Company Limited's (HKG:1066) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.1x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 9x and even P/E's below 4x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer has been very sluggish. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 7.5% decrease to the company's bottom line. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year EPS growth is still a noteworthy 23% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 10% each year over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 16% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we find it concerning that Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer's P/E?
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer with six simple checks.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.