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Omnicell, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:OMCL) Share Price Is Matching Sentiment Around Its Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 25, 2023 05:50

Omnicell, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:OMCL) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Medical Equipment industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3.3x and even P/S above 8x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Omnicell

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:OMCL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 25th 2023

What Does Omnicell's Recent Performance Look Like?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Omnicell's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Omnicell.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Omnicell's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 9.4% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 33% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 0.1% per annum as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 9.8% each year, which paints a poor picture.

With this information, we are not surprised that Omnicell is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From Omnicell's P/S?

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

It's clear to see that Omnicell maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Omnicell with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If you're unsure about the strength of Omnicell's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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