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Some Confidence Is Lacking In Raffles Interior Limited (HKG:1376) As Shares Slide 35%

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 24, 2023 19:35

Raffles Interior Limited (HKG:1376) shares have retraced a considerable 35% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Of course, over the longer-term many would still wish they owned shares as the stock's price has soared 218% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large drop in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Raffles Interior's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Construction industry is similar at about 0.3x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for Raffles Interior

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1376 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 25th 2023

What Does Raffles Interior's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Raffles Interior has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Raffles Interior will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Raffles Interior?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Raffles Interior's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 11% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen a 28% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 13% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's curious that Raffles Interior's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Final Word

Following Raffles Interior's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Raffles Interior revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Raffles Interior (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Raffles Interior, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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