Chinasoft International Limited (HKG:354), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the SEHK over the last few months, increasing to HK$6.83 at one point, and dropping to the lows of HK$5.47. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Chinasoft International's current trading price of HK$5.82 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let's take a look at Chinasoft International's outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
View our latest analysis for Chinasoft International
What's The Opportunity In Chinasoft International?
According to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average, the stock currently looks expensive. In this instance, we've used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock's cash flows. We find that Chinasoft International's ratio of 26.2x is above its peer average of 11.35x, which suggests the stock is trading at a higher price compared to the IT industry. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that Chinasoft International's share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
Can we expect growth from Chinasoft International?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you're looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Chinasoft International's earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in 354's positive outlook, with shares trading above industry price multiples. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe 354 should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping an eye on 354 for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for 354, which means it's worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
If you want to dive deeper into Chinasoft International, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that Chinasoft International has 1 warning sign and it would be unwise to ignore it.
If you are no longer interested in Chinasoft International, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.