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Revenues Not Telling The Story For Hunan Lead Power Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300530) After Shares Rise 33%

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 22, 2023 19:08

Hunan Lead Power Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300530) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 33% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 5.5% in the last twelve months.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Hunan Lead Power Technology Group is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 12.9x, considering almost half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have P/S ratios below 2.3x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Hunan Lead Power Technology Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300530 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 23rd 2023

How Hunan Lead Power Technology Group Has Been Performing

For instance, Hunan Lead Power Technology Group's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hunan Lead Power Technology Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Hunan Lead Power Technology Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

Hunan Lead Power Technology Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 18% decrease to the company's top line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 132% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

It's interesting to note that the rest of the industry is similarly expected to grow by 30% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Hunan Lead Power Technology Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends would weigh down the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Hunan Lead Power Technology Group's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our look into Hunan Lead Power Technology Group has shown that it currently trades on a higher than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is only in line with the wider industry forecast. When we see average revenue with industry-like growth combined with a high P/S, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with the industry too. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term trends, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Hunan Lead Power Technology Group (2 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Hunan Lead Power Technology Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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