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Why We're Not Concerned About AVIC (Chengdu)UAS Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688297) Share Price

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 22, 2023 17:08

AVIC (Chengdu)UAS Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688297) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 13.5x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China have P/S ratios below 8x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for AVIC (Chengdu)UAS

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688297 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 22nd 2023

How Has AVIC (Chengdu)UAS Performed Recently?

AVIC (Chengdu)UAS could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on AVIC (Chengdu)UAS will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, AVIC (Chengdu)UAS would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 29%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 58% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 141% during the coming year according to the two analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 48% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that AVIC (Chengdu)UAS' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What Does AVIC (Chengdu)UAS' P/S Mean For Investors?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that AVIC (Chengdu)UAS maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Aerospace & Defense industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for AVIC (Chengdu)UAS that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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