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Is Valhi (NYSE:VHI) A Risky Investment?

Is Valhi (NYSE:VHI) A Risky Investment?

Valhi(纽约证券交易所代码:VHI)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/22 06:30

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Valhi, Inc. (NYSE:VHI) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

大卫·伊本说得好,他说:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。我们注意到,Valhi, Inc.(纽约证券交易所代码:VHI)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法偿还贷款,那么债务就任其摆布。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东。但是,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的极好工具。考虑公司的债务水平的第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。

Check out our latest analysis for Valhi

查看我们对 Valhi 的最新分析

What Is Valhi's Net Debt?

Valhi 的净负债是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Valhi had US$533.4m in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has US$425.5m in cash leading to net debt of about US$107.9m.

您可以点击下图以获取更多详细信息,该图表显示,Valhi在2023年9月的债务为5.334亿美元;与前一年大致相同。另一方面,它拥有4.255亿美元的现金,净负债约为1.079亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:VHI Debt to Equity History December 22nd 2023
纽约证券交易所:VHI 债务与股本比率历史记录 2023 年 12 月 22 日

A Look At Valhi's Liabilities

看看 Valhi 的负债

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Valhi had liabilities of US$403.4m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$937.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$425.5m as well as receivables valued at US$332.5m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$583.3m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,Valhi在12个月内到期的负债为4.034亿美元,之后到期的负债为9.379亿美元。除这些债务外,它有4.255亿美元的现金以及价值3.325亿美元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和多出5.833亿美元。

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of US$423.8m, we think shareholders really should watch Valhi's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Valhi will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

鉴于这一赤字实际上高于公司4.238亿美元的市值,我们认为股东们确实应该关注Valhi的债务水平,就像父母第一次看着孩子骑自行车一样。在公司必须迅速清理资产负债表的情况下,股东似乎可能会遭受大规模稀释。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为Valhi需要收入来偿还债务。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

In the last year Valhi had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 25%, to US$1.9b. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

去年,Valhi在利息和税前出现亏损,实际上其收入减少了25%,至19亿美元。坦率地说,这并不是一个好兆头。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Valhi's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$43m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of US$117m over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Valhi that you should be aware of before investing here.

在过去的十二个月中,Valhi的收入不仅下滑,而且还产生了负的息税前收益(EBIT)。事实上,按息税前利润水平计算,它损失了4300万美元。考虑到这一点,除了上述负债外,我们还对公司感到紧张。在对股票过于感兴趣之前,我们希望看到一些强劲的短期改善。尤其是因为它在过去十二个月中的自由现金流为负1.17亿美元。因此,只要说我们认为这只股票有风险就足够了。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,我们发现了Valhi的两个警告信号,在这里投资之前,您应该注意这些信号。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司身上。读者现在可以免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

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