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Lushang Freda Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600223) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 20, 2023 20:23

It's not a stretch to say that Lushang Freda Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600223) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Real Estate industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for Lushang Freda PharmaceuticalLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600223 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 21st 2023

How Has Lushang Freda PharmaceuticalLtd Performed Recently?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Lushang Freda PharmaceuticalLtd's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Lushang Freda PharmaceuticalLtd.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Lushang Freda PharmaceuticalLtd?

Lushang Freda PharmaceuticalLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 46% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 24% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 37% during the coming year according to the nine analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 11% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.

With this in consideration, we think it doesn't make sense that Lushang Freda PharmaceuticalLtd's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining revenues are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Lushang Freda PharmaceuticalLtd's P/S?

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

While Lushang Freda PharmaceuticalLtd's P/S isn't anything out of the ordinary for companies in the industry, we didn't expect it given forecasts of revenue decline. When we see a gloomy outlook like this, our immediate thoughts are that the share price is at risk of declining, negatively impacting P/S. If we consider the revenue outlook, the P/S seems to indicate that potential investors may be paying a premium for the stock.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Lushang Freda PharmaceuticalLtd that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of Lushang Freda PharmaceuticalLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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