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Tecnoglass Inc. (NYSE:TGLS) Stock Catapults 31% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Market

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 20, 2023 05:43

The Tecnoglass Inc. (NYSE:TGLS) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 31%.    The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 47%.  

Even after such a large jump in price, Tecnoglass' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.7x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 17x and even P/E's above 33x are quite common.  Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.  

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Tecnoglass has been doing quite well of late.   One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon.  If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.    

Check out our latest analysis for Tecnoglass

NYSE:TGLS Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 20th 2023

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Tecnoglass.

How Is Tecnoglass' Growth Trending?  

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Tecnoglass would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.  

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 67%.   Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 1,062% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth.  So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.  

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 5.8%  per year as estimated by the six analysts watching the company.  Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 12% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Tecnoglass' P/E sits below the majority of other companies.  It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.  

The Bottom Line On Tecnoglass' P/E

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Tecnoglass' P/E close to the market median.      It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Tecnoglass' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E.  Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises.  Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.    

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Tecnoglass that you need to be mindful of.  

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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