What You Can Learn From NagaCorp Ltd.'s (HKG:3918) P/SAfter Its 25% Share Price Crash

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 19, 2023 18:45

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the NagaCorp Ltd. (HKG:3918) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 56% loss during that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for thinking NagaCorp is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.4x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Hospitality industry have P/S ratios below 1x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for NagaCorp

SEHK:3918 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 19th 2023

What Does NagaCorp's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for NagaCorp as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think NagaCorp's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is NagaCorp's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as NagaCorp's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 49% last year. Still, revenue has fallen 63% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 48% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 40%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why NagaCorp's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On NagaCorp's P/S

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate NagaCorp's very lofty P/S. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of NagaCorp's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for NagaCorp with six simple checks.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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