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What Jiangxi Hengda Hi-Tech Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:002591) 25% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 18, 2023 23:00

Jiangxi Hengda Hi-Tech Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002591) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 3.9% isn't as attractive.

After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.2x, you may consider Jiangxi Hengda Hi-TechLtd as a stock not worth researching with its 6.9x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Jiangxi Hengda Hi-TechLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002591 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 19th 2023

How Has Jiangxi Hengda Hi-TechLtd Performed Recently?

The revenue growth achieved at Jiangxi Hengda Hi-TechLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Jiangxi Hengda Hi-TechLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Jiangxi Hengda Hi-TechLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Jiangxi Hengda Hi-TechLtd would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 8.1% gain to the company's revenues. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 19% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 31% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it concerning that Jiangxi Hengda Hi-TechLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Final Word

Jiangxi Hengda Hi-TechLtd's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

The fact that Jiangxi Hengda Hi-TechLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Jiangxi Hengda Hi-TechLtd (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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