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There's No Escaping Jiajiayue Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603708) Muted Revenues Despite A 28% Share Price Rise

Jiajiayue Group株式会社(SHSE:603708)の売上高は落ち込んでいるが、株価は28%上昇しているため、逃れることはできない

Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/18 20:00

Jiajiayue Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603708) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking further back, the 17% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Even after such a large jump in price, when close to half the companies operating in China's Consumer Retailing industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.1x, you may still consider Jiajiayue Group as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.5x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Jiajiayue Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603708 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 19th 2023

What Does Jiajiayue Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

Jiajiayue Group could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Jiajiayue Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Jiajiayue Group?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Jiajiayue Group's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 7.9% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 6.3% each year during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 12% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Jiajiayue Group's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does Jiajiayue Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

Jiajiayue Group's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As expected, our analysis of Jiajiayue Group's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Jiajiayue Group that we have uncovered.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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