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TOMO Holdings Limited (HKG:6928) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 26% Price Plummet

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 18, 2023 19:35

To the annoyance of some shareholders, TOMO Holdings Limited (HKG:6928) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 93% loss during that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, given close to half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Auto Components industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.5x, you may still consider TOMO Holdings as a stock to potentially avoid with its 1.1x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for TOMO Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:6928 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 19th 2023

What Does TOMO Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times have been quite advantageous for TOMO Holdings as its revenue has been rising very briskly. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on TOMO Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For TOMO Holdings?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as TOMO Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 99%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 81% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 36% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's alarming that TOMO Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From TOMO Holdings' P/S?

There's still some elevation in TOMO Holdings' P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

The fact that TOMO Holdings currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Having said that, be aware TOMO Holdings is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is concerning.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on TOMO Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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