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NOV Inc.'s (NYSE:NOV) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 18, 2023 14:31

It's not a stretch to say that NOV Inc.'s (NYSE:NOV) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for Energy Services companies in the United States, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Check out our latest analysis for NOV

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:NOV Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023

How Has NOV Performed Recently?

There hasn't been much to differentiate NOV's and the industry's revenue growth lately. The P/S ratio is probably moderate because investors think this modest revenue performance will continue. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this can at least be maintained so that you could pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think NOV's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For NOV?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, NOV would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 24%. As a result, it also grew revenue by 18% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 7.1% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 9.7% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that NOV's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What Does NOV's P/S Mean For Investors?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Given that NOV's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for NOV with six simple checks.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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