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Marqeta, Inc. (NASDAQ:MQ) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 18, 2023 11:52

Marqeta, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MQ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.4x may not look like an appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Diversified Financial industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 2.5x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

See our latest analysis for Marqeta

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:MQ Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023

How Has Marqeta Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Marqeta has been relatively sluggish. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Marqeta will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Marqeta's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 8.8% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 162% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 0.7% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 8.8% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that Marqeta's P/S is outpacing its industry peers. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What Does Marqeta's P/S Mean For Investors?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for Marqeta, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Marqeta you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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