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It's Down 26% But Creative China Holdings Limited (HKG:8368) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 18, 2023 00:04

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Creative China Holdings Limited (HKG:8368) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Of course, over the longer-term many would still wish they owned shares as the stock's price has soared 203% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Creative China Holdings' P/S ratio of 1.4x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Entertainment industry in Hong Kong is also close to 1.7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for Creative China Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:8368 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023

What Does Creative China Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Creative China Holdings as its revenue has been rising very briskly. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to taper off, which has kept the P/S from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Creative China Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Creative China Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 51% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 46% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that Creative China Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Creative China Holdings' P/S?

Following Creative China Holdings' share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Creative China Holdings currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with Creative China Holdings (at least 1 which can't be ignored), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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