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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Zhongshi Minan Holdings Limited's (HKG:8283) Shares After Tumbling 47%

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 17, 2023 23:17

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Zhongshi Minan Holdings Limited (HKG:8283) shares are down a considerable 47% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 79% share price decline.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Zhongshi Minan Holdings' P/S ratio of 0.9x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Commercial Services industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.5x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for Zhongshi Minan Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:8283 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023

How Has Zhongshi Minan Holdings Performed Recently?

Revenue has risen firmly for Zhongshi Minan Holdings recently, which is pleasing to see. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. Those who are bullish on Zhongshi Minan Holdings will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Zhongshi Minan Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Zhongshi Minan Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Zhongshi Minan Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 8.1% last year. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 15% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 10% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's curious that Zhongshi Minan Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Zhongshi Minan Holdings' P/S?

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Zhongshi Minan Holdings looks to be in line with the rest of the Commercial Services industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Zhongshi Minan Holdings' average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Zhongshi Minan Holdings (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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