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There's Reason For Concern Over Super Strong Holdings Limited's (HKG:8262) Massive 59% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 17, 2023 23:00

Despite an already strong run, Super Strong Holdings Limited (HKG:8262) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 59% in the last thirty days. This latest share price bounce rounds out a remarkable 706% gain over the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Super Strong Holdings is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 10.9x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Construction industry have P/S ratios below 0.3x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Super Strong Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:8262 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023

How Super Strong Holdings Has Been Performing

For instance, Super Strong Holdings' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Super Strong Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Super Strong Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Super Strong Holdings would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 26%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 41% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 13% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Super Strong Holdings is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Super Strong Holdings' P/S?

Super Strong Holdings' P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Super Strong Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Super Strong Holdings (2 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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