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Nanjing Public Utilities Development Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000421) Stock Rockets 81% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 17, 2023 20:19

Nanjing Public Utilities Development Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000421) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 81% share price jump in the last month. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 85% in the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 34x, you may consider Nanjing Public Utilities Development as a stock to avoid entirely with its 52.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Nanjing Public Utilities Development has been doing very well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Nanjing Public Utilities Development

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000421 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Nanjing Public Utilities Development's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Nanjing Public Utilities Development's Growth Trending?

Nanjing Public Utilities Development's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 36% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 75% drop in EPS in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 44% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Nanjing Public Utilities Development's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

The strong share price surge has got Nanjing Public Utilities Development's P/E rushing to great heights as well. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Nanjing Public Utilities Development revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Nanjing Public Utilities Development (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Nanjing Public Utilities Development's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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