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Optimistic Investors Push Cabbeen Fashion Limited (HKG:2030) Shares Up 68% But Growth Is Lacking

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 17, 2023 20:05

Cabbeen Fashion Limited (HKG:2030) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 68% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 5.7% over the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Cabbeen Fashion's P/S ratio of 0.5x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Luxury industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for Cabbeen Fashion

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2030 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023

How Has Cabbeen Fashion Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Cabbeen Fashion over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Cabbeen Fashion will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Cabbeen Fashion's Revenue Growth Trending?

Cabbeen Fashion's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 12% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 25% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 12% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Cabbeen Fashion's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Cabbeen Fashion appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our look at Cabbeen Fashion revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Cabbeen Fashion you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Cabbeen Fashion, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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