With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.5x PICC Property and Casualty Company Limited (HKG:2328) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios greater than 10x and even P/E's higher than 19x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, PICC Property and Casualty has been doing quite well of late. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for PICC Property and Casualty
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, PICC Property and Casualty would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 11%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 34% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 12% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 15% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that PICC Property and Casualty's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of PICC Property and Casualty's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for PICC Property and Casualty that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of PICC Property and Casualty's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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