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TVZone Media Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603721) Stock Rockets 71% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 17, 2023 19:35

TVZone Media Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603721) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 71% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 122% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, TVZone Media's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 19.3x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to other companies in the Entertainment industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 9.2x and even P/S below 4x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for TVZone Media

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603721 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023

What Does TVZone Media's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for TVZone Media, which is generally not a bad outcome. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance is strong enough to outperform the industry, which has inflated the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on TVZone Media's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For TVZone Media?

TVZone Media's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 7.0%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 9.1% overall drop in revenue. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 35% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that TVZone Media is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

TVZone Media's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that TVZone Media currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for TVZone Media (3 are a bit concerning!) that we have uncovered.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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