Some Confidence Is Lacking In China Carbon Neutral Development Group Limited (HKG:1372) As Shares Slide 32%

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 17, 2023 19:30

To the annoyance of some shareholders, China Carbon Neutral Development Group Limited (HKG:1372) shares are down a considerable 32% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 79% loss during that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about China Carbon Neutral Development Group's P/S ratio of 0.4x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Auto Components industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.5x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for China Carbon Neutral Development Group

SEHK:1372 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023

What Does China Carbon Neutral Development Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times have been quite advantageous for China Carbon Neutral Development Group as its revenue has been rising very briskly. The P/S is probably moderate because investors think this strong revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on China Carbon Neutral Development Group will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on China Carbon Neutral Development Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

China Carbon Neutral Development Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 41% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 58% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 36% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it interesting that China Carbon Neutral Development Group is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Final Word

Following China Carbon Neutral Development Group's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of China Carbon Neutral Development Group revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with China Carbon Neutral Development Group (at least 2 which are a bit concerning), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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