Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Thelloy Development Group Limited's (HKG:1546) shareholders over the last week. Our analysis suggests that while the profits are soft, the foundations of the business are strong.
See our latest analysis for Thelloy Development Group
Zooming In On Thelloy Development Group's Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
For the year to September 2023, Thelloy Development Group had an accrual ratio of -0.12. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. In fact, it had free cash flow of HK$33m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of HK$10.4m. Given that Thelloy Development Group had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of HK$33m would seem to be a step in the right direction.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Thelloy Development Group.
Our Take On Thelloy Development Group's Profit Performance
Thelloy Development Group's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think Thelloy Development Group's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! Better yet, its EPS are growing strongly, which is nice to see. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Thelloy Development Group (of which 2 are significant!) you should know about.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Thelloy Development Group's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.