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Revenues Working Against Aadi Bioscience, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AADI) Share Price Following 48% Dive

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 16, 2023 07:15

Aadi Bioscience, Inc. (NASDAQ:AADI) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 48% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 81% loss during that time.

After such a large drop in price, Aadi Bioscience's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.5x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 11.6x and even P/S above 49x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Aadi Bioscience

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:AADI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 16th 2023

What Does Aadi Bioscience's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Aadi Bioscience certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Aadi Bioscience's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Aadi Bioscience's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 112% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 59% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 48% per annum as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 221% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Aadi Bioscience's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

Aadi Bioscience's P/S looks about as weak as its stock price lately. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As expected, our analysis of Aadi Bioscience's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Aadi Bioscience (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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