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Nextdoor Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:KIND) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 14, 2023 05:59

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Interactive Media and Services industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.4x, Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:KIND) looks to be giving off some sell signals with its 3.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

See our latest analysis for Nextdoor Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:KIND Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 14th 2023

What Does Nextdoor Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Nextdoor Holdings' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Nextdoor Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Nextdoor Holdings?

Nextdoor Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.3%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 75% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 5.8% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 12% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's alarming that Nextdoor Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On Nextdoor Holdings' P/S

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for Nextdoor Holdings, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Nextdoor Holdings that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Nextdoor Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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