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Is Kronos Worldwide (NYSE:KRO) A Risky Investment?

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 9, 2023 07:30

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Kronos Worldwide, Inc. (NYSE:KRO) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Kronos Worldwide

What Is Kronos Worldwide's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Kronos Worldwide had US$423.2m of debt, an increase on US$392.2m, over one year. However, it does have US$155.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$267.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:KRO Debt to Equity History December 9th 2023

A Look At Kronos Worldwide's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Kronos Worldwide had liabilities of US$256.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$626.5m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$155.3m and US$299.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$427.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Kronos Worldwide has a market capitalization of US$962.8m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Kronos Worldwide's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Kronos Worldwide made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$1.6b, which is a fall of 23%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Kronos Worldwide's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at US$75m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$97m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Kronos Worldwide is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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