If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Suzhou Sunmun Technology (SZSE:300522) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Suzhou Sunmun Technology, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.0078 = CN¥6.9m ÷ (CN¥1.1b - CN¥223m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
So, Suzhou Sunmun Technology has an ROCE of 0.8%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Chemicals industry average of 5.5%.
Check out our latest analysis for Suzhou Sunmun Technology
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Suzhou Sunmun Technology's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Suzhou Sunmun Technology, check out these free graphs here.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Suzhou Sunmun Technology doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 9.8%, but since then they've fallen to 0.8%. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
While on the subject, we noticed that the ratio of current liabilities to total assets has risen to 20%, which has impacted the ROCE. If current liabilities hadn't increased as much as they did, the ROCE could actually be even lower. While the ratio isn't currently too high, it's worth keeping an eye on this because if it gets particularly high, the business could then face some new elements of risk.
The Key Takeaway
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Suzhou Sunmun Technology's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Investors must think there's better things to come because the stock has knocked it out of the park, delivering a 117% gain to shareholders who have held over the last five years. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
One more thing: We've identified 5 warning signs with Suzhou Sunmun Technology (at least 3 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding these would certainly be useful.
While Suzhou Sunmun Technology may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.