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When Should You Buy Liberty Latin America Ltd. (NASDAQ:LILA)?

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 5, 2023 23:46

Liberty Latin America Ltd. (NASDAQ:LILA), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the NASDAQGS. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock's share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let's examine Liberty Latin America's valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there's still a bargain opportunity.

View our latest analysis for Liberty Latin America

What Is Liberty Latin America Worth?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. I've used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there's not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock's ratio of 9.02x is currently trading in-line with its industry peers' ratio, which means if you buy Liberty Latin America today, you'd be paying a relatively sensible price for it. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Liberty Latin America's share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of Liberty Latin America look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:LILA Earnings and Revenue Growth December 5th 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you're looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let's also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with an extremely negative double-digit change in profit expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth is certainly not a driver of a buy decision. It seems like high uncertainty is on the cards for Liberty Latin America, at least in the near future.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? LILA seems priced close to industry peers right now, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on LILA, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on LILA for a while, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. This means there's less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven't considered today, which can help crystallize your views on LILA should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio.

If you want to dive deeper into Liberty Latin America, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that Liberty Latin America has 2 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore them.

If you are no longer interested in Liberty Latin America, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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