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Revenues Working Against Bar Pacific Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:8432) Share Price Following 26% Dive

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 30, 2023 17:10

Bar Pacific Group Holdings Limited (HKG:8432) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 34% in that time.

Since its price has dipped substantially, when close to half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Hospitality industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.1x, you may consider Bar Pacific Group Holdings as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.2x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Bar Pacific Group Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:8432 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 30th 2023

How Has Bar Pacific Group Holdings Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Bar Pacific Group Holdings has been doing very well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dwindle, which has kept the P/S suppressed. Those who are bullish on Bar Pacific Group Holdings will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Bar Pacific Group Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Bar Pacific Group Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 81%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 76% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 40% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Bar Pacific Group Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Bar Pacific Group Holdings' P/S?

The southerly movements of Bar Pacific Group Holdings' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Bar Pacific Group Holdings revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Bar Pacific Group Holdings (at least 1 which is significant), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're unsure about the strength of Bar Pacific Group Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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