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Optimistic Investors Push Silence Therapeutics Plc (NASDAQ:SLN) Shares Up 65% But Growth Is Lacking

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 27, 2023 05:04

Silence Therapeutics plc (NASDAQ:SLN) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 65% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 24% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Silence Therapeutics' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 12.9x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Biotechs industry is similar at about 11.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for Silence Therapeutics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:SLN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 27th 2023

How Silence Therapeutics Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Silence Therapeutics has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Silence Therapeutics will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Silence Therapeutics' Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Silence Therapeutics would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 74% last year. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 5.9% per annum as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 196% per annum, which paints a poor picture.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Silence Therapeutics' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining revenues are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Silence Therapeutics' P/S

Silence Therapeutics' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

It appears that Silence Therapeutics currently trades on a higher than expected P/S for a company whose revenues are forecast to decline. With this in mind, we don't feel the current P/S is justified as declining revenues are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If the poor revenue outlook tells us one thing, it's that these current price levels could be unsustainable.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Silence Therapeutics you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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