Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:LIND) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 28%

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 26, 2023 07:37

Those holding Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:LIND) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 28% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 24% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, given about half the companies operating in the United States' Hospitality industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.3x, you may still consider Lindblad Expeditions Holdings as an attractive investment with its 0.7x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Lindblad Expeditions Holdings

NasdaqCM:LIND Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 26th 2023

What Does Lindblad Expeditions Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times have been advantageous for Lindblad Expeditions Holdings as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Lindblad Expeditions Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Lindblad Expeditions Holdings?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Lindblad Expeditions Holdings would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 52% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 256% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 8.9% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 17% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Lindblad Expeditions Holdings' P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Lindblad Expeditions Holdings' P/S close to the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Lindblad Expeditions Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Lindblad Expeditions Holdings (1 is potentially serious!) that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Lindblad Expeditions Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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