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Kinetix Systems Holdings Limited's (HKG:8606) 28% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 19, 2023 20:26

Kinetix Systems Holdings Limited (HKG:8606) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 28% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 64% in the last year.

After such a large drop in price, it would be understandable if you think Kinetix Systems Holdings is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.6x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's IT industry have P/S ratios above 1.4x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

View our latest analysis for Kinetix Systems Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:8606 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 20th 2023

How Has Kinetix Systems Holdings Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Kinetix Systems Holdings' financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to worsen, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Kinetix Systems Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Kinetix Systems Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Kinetix Systems Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. The lack of growth did nothing to help the company's aggregate three-year performance, which is an unsavory 7.2% drop in revenue. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 12% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's understandable that Kinetix Systems Holdings' P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Bottom Line On Kinetix Systems Holdings' P/S

The southerly movements of Kinetix Systems Holdings' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Kinetix Systems Holdings confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Kinetix Systems Holdings (at least 1 which is concerning), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Kinetix Systems Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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