One thing we could say about the analysts on Duos Technologies Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:DUOT) - they aren't optimistic, having just made a major negative revision to their near-term (statutory) forecasts for the organization. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting the analysts have soured majorly on the business.
After the downgrade, the dual analysts covering Duos Technologies Group are now predicting revenues of US$20m in 2024. If met, this would reflect a major 65% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. The loss per share is anticipated to greatly reduce in the near future, narrowing 60% to US$0.51. However, before this estimates update, the consensus had been expecting revenues of US$25m and US$0.38 per share in losses. Ergo, there's been a clear change in sentiment, with the analysts administering a notable cut to next year's revenue estimates, while at the same time increasing their loss per share forecasts.
View our latest analysis for Duos Technologies Group
NasdaqCM:DUOT Earnings and Revenue Growth November 19th 2023
The consensus price target fell 16% to US$7.63, with the analysts clearly concerned about the company following the weaker revenue and earnings outlook.
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that Duos Technologies Group's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 49% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 1.5% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 12% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Duos Technologies Group to grow faster than the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that analysts increased their loss per share estimates for next year. Unfortunately, analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, although our data indicates revenues are expected to perform better than the wider market. With a serious cut to next year's expectations and a falling price target, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were becoming wary of Duos Technologies Group.
Even so, the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for the value creation of shareholders. We have analyst estimates for Duos Technologies Group going out as far as 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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