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Investors More Bullish on China South Publishing & Media Group (SHSE:601098) This Week as Stock Rallies 3.3%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Year

Investors More Bullish on China South Publishing & Media Group (SHSE:601098) This Week as Stock Rallies 3.3%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Year

尽管去年收益呈下降趋势,但本周股价仍上涨3.3%,投资者更加看好华南出版传媒集团(SHSE:601098)
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/17 20:22

If you want to compound wealth in the stock market, you can do so by buying an index fund. But you can significantly boost your returns by picking above-average stocks. For example, the China South Publishing & Media Group Co., Ltd (SHSE:601098) share price is up 20% in the last 1 year, clearly besting the market decline of around 7.1% (not including dividends). So that should have shareholders smiling. However, the longer term returns haven't been so impressive, with the stock up just 11% in the last three years.

如果你想在股票市场上增加财富,你可以通过购买指数基金来实现。但是,您可以通过选择高于平均水平的股票来显著提高回报。例如,中国南方出版传媒集团股份有限公司(SHSE:601098)的股价在过去1年中上涨了20%,明显超过了约7.1%(不包括股息)的市场跌幅。因此,这应该让股东们微笑。但是,长期回报并不那么可观,该股在过去三年中仅上涨了11%。

The past week has proven to be lucrative for China South Publishing & Media Group investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's one-year performance.

事实证明,过去一周对中南出版传媒集团的投资者来说是有利可图的,所以让我们看看基本面是否推动了该公司的一年业绩。

See our latest analysis for China South Publishing & Media Group

查看我们对中南出版传媒集团的最新分析

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

Over the last twelve months, China South Publishing & Media Group actually shrank its EPS by 1.3%.

在过去的十二个月中,中南出版传媒集团的每股收益实际上萎缩了1.3%。

The mild decline in EPS may be a result of the fact that the company is more focused on other aspects of the business, right now. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

每股收益的温和下降可能是由于该公司目前更多地关注业务的其他方面。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化无关,因此值得一看其他指标。

Absent any improvement, we don't think a thirst for dividends is pushing up the China South Publishing & Media Group's share price. Rather, we'd posit that the revenue increase of 6.3% might be more meaningful. After all, it's not necessarily a bad thing if a business sacrifices profits today in pursuit of profit tomorrow (metaphorically speaking).

在没有任何改善的情况下,我们认为对分红的渴望并不会推高华南出版传媒集团的股价。相反,我们认为6.3%的收入增长可能更有意义。毕竟,如果一家企业为了追求明天的利润而牺牲今天的利润,那不一定是一件坏事(比喻地说)。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:601098 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 18th 2023
上海证券交易所:601098 收益和收入增长 2023 年 11 月 18 日

This free interactive report on China South Publishing & Media Group's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果你想进一步调查该股,这份关于中国南方出版传媒集团资产负债表实力的免费互动报告是一个不错的起点。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, China South Publishing & Media Group's TSR for the last 1 year was 26%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报(TSR)。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息已被再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报。碰巧的是,华南出版传媒集团过去1年的股东总回报率为26%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's good to see that China South Publishing & Media Group has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 26% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 7% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. Before forming an opinion on China South Publishing & Media Group you might want to consider the cold hard cash it pays as a dividend. This free chart tracks its dividend over time.

很高兴看到华南出版传媒集团在过去十二个月中向股东提供了26%的股东总回报率。当然,这包括分红。这比五年来7%的年化回报率要好,这意味着该公司最近的表现更好。在最好的情况下,这可能暗示着一些真正的商业势头,这意味着现在可能是深入研究的好时机。在对华南出版传媒集团发表意见之前,你可能需要考虑将其支付的冷硬现金作为股息。这张免费图表追踪了其一段时间内的股息。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一样,那么你不会想错过这份业内人士正在收购的成长型公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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