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Is Akeso (HKG:9926) A Risky Investment?

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 15, 2023 18:24

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Akeso, Inc. (HKG:9926) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Akeso

What Is Akeso's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2023 Akeso had debt of CN¥2.52b, up from CN¥1.32b in one year. But it also has CN¥4.81b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥2.28b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:9926 Debt to Equity History November 15th 2023

How Healthy Is Akeso's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Akeso had liabilities of CN¥933.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥3.03b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥4.81b and CN¥288.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥1.13b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus suggests that Akeso has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Akeso boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Although Akeso made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, it was also good to see that it generated CN¥1.5b in EBIT over the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Akeso can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Akeso has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last year, Akeso recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 87% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Akeso has net cash of CN¥2.28b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 87% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥1.3b. So we don't think Akeso's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Akeso you should be aware of, and 2 of them are significant.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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