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CHYY Development Group Limited's (HKG:8128) Shares Climb 27% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 15, 2023 17:25

CHYY Development Group Limited (HKG:8128) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 27% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking further back, the 18% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking CHYY Development Group is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.1x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Commercial Services industry have P/S ratios below 0.4x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for CHYY Development Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:8128 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 15th 2023

What Does CHYY Development Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at CHYY Development Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on CHYY Development Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For CHYY Development Group?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like CHYY Development Group's to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 25%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 71% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 11% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that CHYY Development Group's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What Does CHYY Development Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

Shares in CHYY Development Group have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of CHYY Development Group revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for CHYY Development Group (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're unsure about the strength of CHYY Development Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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