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Earnings Not Telling The Story For Amara Holdings Limited (SGX:A34) After Shares Rise 41%

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 15, 2023 17:09

The Amara Holdings Limited (SGX:A34) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 41%. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 85%.

Following the firm bounce in price, Amara Holdings may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 48.8x, since almost half of all companies in Singapore have P/E ratios under 12x and even P/E's lower than 7x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

Amara Holdings certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Amara Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SGX:A34 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 15th 2023
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Amara Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Growth For Amara Holdings?

Amara Holdings' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 34% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 65% drop in EPS in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 9.2% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Amara Holdings is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Amara Holdings' P/E?

Shares in Amara Holdings have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Amara Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Amara Holdings (2 can't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Amara Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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