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Little Excitement Around Semantix, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:STIX) Revenues As Shares Take 52% Pounding

Simply Wall St ·  11/14/2023 18:29

Semantix, Inc. (NASDAQ:STIX) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 52% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 49% share price drop.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Semantix may look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x, considering almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.2x and even P/S higher than 10x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for Semantix

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:STIX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 14th 2023

How Semantix Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Semantix has been relatively sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Semantix will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Semantix?

Semantix's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 7.8% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 81% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 28% during the coming year according to the sole analyst following the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 15%.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Semantix's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Final Word

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Semantix's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

It's clear to see that Semantix maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Semantix (3 are concerning) you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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